{"id":7939,"date":"2013-11-02T13:59:15","date_gmt":"2013-11-02T11:59:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/?p=7939"},"modified":"2019-07-11T23:42:41","modified_gmt":"2019-07-11T21:42:41","slug":"taban-degismeye-basladi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/taban-degismeye-basladi\/","title":{"rendered":"Taban de\u011fi\u015fmeye ba\u015flad\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><i>Se\u00e7imler bug\u00fcn olsayd\u0131<\/i>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c<b>Sava Haris<\/b>\u201d sosyolojik ara\u015ft\u0131rma merkezince yap\u0131lan son anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, Bulgaristan parlamento se\u00e7imleri ge\u00e7en hafta yap\u0131lsayd\u0131 <b>\u201cATAKA\u201d partisi meclis d\u0131\u015f\u0131<\/b>na itilecek, \u00a0<b>REFORMCU BLOK ile Nikolay BAREKOV\u2019un olu\u015fan politik hareketi meclise girecekti.<!--more--><\/b><\/p>\n<p>Sofya\u2019da \u00e7\u0131kan 1 Kas\u0131m 2013 tarihli <b>STANDART<\/b> gazetesinde yay\u0131nlanan sosyolojik nab\u0131z yoklama sonu\u00e7lar\u0131 aynen \u015f\u00f6yledir:<\/p>\n<p>Y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fckte olan oranl\u0131 (majoriter) se\u00e7im sistemine g\u00f6re, ge\u00e7en hafta bir genel se\u00e7im yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015f olsayd\u0131, <b>% 4 baraj\u0131 5 politik parti ge\u00e7ecekti<\/b>. <b>1<\/b>) Bulgaristan Sosyalist Partisi (BSP); <b>2<\/b>) Bulgaristan Cumhuriyeti \u0130\u00e7in Vatanda\u015f Birli\u011fi Partisi (GERB); <b>3<\/b>) Hak ve \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fckler Hareketi (H\u00d6H); <b>4<\/b>) Bu y\u0131l\u0131n yaz aylar\u0131ndaki g\u00f6sterilerde olu\u015fan REFORMCU BLOK; ve <b>5<\/b>) Gazeteci Nikolay BAREKOV taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilen SANS\u00dcRS\u00dcZ BULGAR\u0130STAN adl\u0131 halk hareketi.<\/p>\n<p>Elde edilen sonu\u00e7larda, Sosyalist Parti oylar\u0131n 21,7\u2019sini alarak, 19,7 oran\u0131nda oy alan B. Borisov\u2019un GERB partisini % 2 oran\u0131nda a\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.\u00a0 Bu sonu\u00e7lar, se\u00e7ime kat\u0131lma oran\u0131 % 60 gibi saptanm\u0131\u015f olup, kat\u0131l\u0131m oran\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesi durumunda BSP\u2019nin daha b\u00fcy\u00fck bir se\u00e7im ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131 kazanmas\u0131 olas\u0131d\u0131r, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc 100 y\u0131ll\u0131k ge\u00e7mi\u015fi olan bu partinin <b>yedek oy kayna\u011f\u0131 geni\u015ftir.<\/b><\/p><div id=\"bghab-932509199\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>12 May\u0131s 2013 se\u00e7imlerinde en fazla oy alan parti olmas\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131n, Haziran ve Temmuz aylar\u0131nda h\u0131zla g\u00fcven ve se\u00e7men kitlesi kaybeden eski ba\u015fbakan B. Borisov\u2019un partisi, Eyl\u00fcl ay\u0131nda hatta par\u00e7alansa da, \u015fimdilik <b>\u00e7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f s\u00fcrecini durdurdu\u011fu<\/b> gibi saflar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131rm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Sa\u011f kanad\u0131n en b\u00fcy\u00fck politik parti olan GERB, BSP, H\u00d6H ve ATAKA\u2019n\u0131n kurdu\u011fu \u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc koalisyonu yaz boyu k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rtt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve arkalad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6sterilerle \u201c\u0130ST\u0130FA!\u201d HAYKIRI\u015eLARIYLA HIRPALAMAYA \u00c7ALI\u015eIRKEN, parti y\u00f6netiminde saflar\u0131 s\u0131kla\u015ft\u0131rabildi, \u00fczerine gelen sald\u0131r\u0131lara g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcs germeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ku\u015fkusuz her hareket bir de tepki do\u011furur mant\u0131yla analiz edildi\u011finde, Bulgaristan\u2019da GERB partisinin son 4 y\u0131ldaki y\u00f6netiminden memnun olmayanlar bu defa Sosyalist Parti etraf\u0131na s\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131yorlar. Baz\u0131 \u00e7evrelerin ho\u015funa gitmeye bilir, fakat g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fcz <b>Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131ndaki politik kap\u0131\u015fma GERB ve BSP partileri aras\u0131ndad\u0131r ve devam ediyor. <\/b><\/p>\n<p>Bu anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda <b>H\u00d6H % 10<\/b> gibi bir paya sevinebilir.<\/p>\n<p>Ge\u00e7i\u015f D\u00f6neminde parlamento d\u0131\u015f\u0131 kalan k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck partileri, se\u00e7kin bilim, sanat ve politika adamlar\u0131n\u0131 ve aktif gen\u00e7leri saflar\u0131na alan REFORMCU BLOK\u2019a yeni politik g\u00fc\u00e7lerin daha kararl\u0131 kat\u0131lmas\u0131 beklenirken, anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, hen\u00fcz 4 ayl\u0131k olan bu politik olu\u015fum % 4\u2019l\u00fck baraj\u0131 a\u015f\u0131p meclis koltuklar\u0131nda yer al\u0131yor. Halk aras\u0131nda REFORMCU BLOK\u2019a artan bir cana yak\u0131nl\u0131k ve <b>fiili destek dalgas\u0131 alm\u0131\u015f kendini gidiyor<\/b>.<\/p>\n<p>May\u0131s 2013\u2019te yap\u0131lmas\u0131 kesinle\u015fmi\u015f olan Avrupa Birli\u011fi (AB) parlamento se\u00e7imlerine kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda bu gen\u00e7 partinin daha ilk hamlede Br\u00fcksel\u2019e 3 milletvekili g\u00f6nderebilmesine kesin g\u00f6zle bak\u0131l\u0131yor. \u015eimdiki anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131nda, % 7,2 oran\u0131nda oy alan REFORMCU BLOK\u2019 tan beklenen ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 peki\u015ftirmesi ve se\u00e7men y\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131na daha emin inerek b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkede kendini halka a\u00e7mas\u0131 ve tan\u0131tmas\u0131d\u0131r. BLOK\u2019un arkas\u0131nda duran kitle ba\u015fkent ve \u00f6teki b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015fehirlerin orta katman\u0131 ve gen\u00e7lerdir.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-108782433\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-10-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p><b>Bulgaristan Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezimizin analiz ve tespitlerine g\u00f6re<\/b>, (REFORMCU BLOK Bulgaristan\u2019da totalitarizmi ayr\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131p eski \u00e7\u00f6pl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc temizleyecek bir politik g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak \u00e7\u0131\u011f gibi b\u00fc\u011feyerek kuvvet toplayabilirse, soyda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 ve yerli T\u00fcrk, Pomak ve di\u011fer M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc arkas\u0131na almas\u0131 muhtemeldir. Soyda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131z taraf\u0131ndan ihanetle su\u00e7lanan H\u00d6H politikas\u0131n\u0131n getirdi\u011fi k\u00fcsk\u00fcn durgunluk ve dolay\u0131s\u0131yla sand\u0131ktan uzakla\u015fmak a\u015f\u0131labilirse, kararl\u0131 bir hamleyle REFORMCU BLOK ad\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n desteklenmesi,\u00a0 bu yeni partiye kan verip onu Bulgar politika sahnesinde 3. parti durumuna y\u00fckseltebilir. Br\u00fcksel Parlamentosuna da 5 milletvekili g\u00f6ndermesine yol a\u00e7\u0131l\u0131r.)<\/p>\n<p>Yeni koyu sa\u011fc\u0131, fa\u015fizan Volen Siderov ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki ATAKA Partisi ile yine T\u00fcrk d\u00fc\u015fmanl\u0131 kusarak politikaya heveslenen ATAKA TV yay\u0131nlar\u0131 etraf\u0131nda k\u00fcmelenmi\u015f, Burgas kentinden yola \u00e7\u0131karak b\u00fct\u00fcn \u00fclkede \u00f6rg\u00fctlenmeye heveslenen \u00d6zg\u00fcr Bulgaristan Ulusal Federasyonu (NFSB) bu anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re 43. Halk Meclisi kap\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 a\u015famayacak, parlamento d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalacakt\u0131r. (<i>Bu \u0131rk\u00e7\u0131 olu\u015fumlar\u0131n H\u00d6H paras\u0131yla kurduruldu\u011fu asla unutulmamal\u0131d\u0131r<\/i>) Bulgar se\u00e7men ATAKA\u2019n\u0131n izledi\u011fi d\u00f6nek ve \u00e7\u0131karc\u0131, huzur bozan bir politikay\u0131 art\u0131k desteklemek istemiyor. T\u00fcrklere, Pomaklara, t\u00fcm M\u00fcsl\u00fcmanlara ve halen k\u0131z\u0131\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmak istenen Suriyeli g\u00f6\u00e7menlere kar\u015f\u0131 politika bu defa tutmayabilir. Bu insanlar\u0131n onlar\u0131 H\u00d6H\u2019e verirken ATAKA\u2019ya kar\u015f\u0131 olduklar\u0131ndand\u0131. Se\u00e7im \u00f6ncesi ATAKA geliyor ona kar\u015f\u0131 biz olmal\u0131y\u0131z derken \u015fimdi onlarla h\u00fck\u00fcmet oldular. Yani onlar kendini bitirdiler \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc Ataka\u2019y\u0131 h\u00fck\u00fcm kurdular, k\u0131saca kendilerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fcler.<\/p>\n<p>Fakat d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnd\u00fckleri gibi olmad\u0131, Sosyalist Parti ile Hak ve \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fckler Partisi\u2019nin birer memesine yap\u0131\u015fm\u0131\u015f ve alt\u0131n \u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fayan eleba\u015f\u0131 V. Siderov ve ATAKA \u2018ya muhalefet yolu g\u00f6r\u00fcnmesi ve bu m\u00fccadelede bel kemi\u011fi ve \u00f6nc\u00fc g\u00fc\u00e7 olarak REFORMCU BLOK \u2018un ortaya \u00e7\u0131kmas\u0131 destek buluyor.<\/p>\n<p>Halen 42. mecliste grubu olan ve 1 oyla h\u00fck\u00fcmet ortakl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yapan\u00a0 \u201cATAKA\u201d partisi se\u00e7men oylar\u0131n\u0131n bir k\u0131sm\u0131 da tan\u0131nm\u0131\u015f gazeteci, gen\u00e7 ve aktif politikac\u0131 Nikolay Barekov taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilen ve bir halk hareketinden politik bir partiye d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fmesi beklenen \u201cSANS\u00dcRS\u00dcZ BULGAR\u0130STAN\u201d seli,\u00a0 43. millet meclisinde yer alacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bu harekete verilen oy oran\u0131 % 4,6 d\u0131r. Bulgaristan politikac\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131nda en fazla g\u00fcven toplayan politik fig\u00fcrler s\u0131ralamas\u0131nda oylar\u0131n % 17\u2019sini N. Barekov ald\u0131. Halkla bulu\u015fmalar\u0131na devam ediyor, derdine derman arayanlardan ayr\u0131lm\u0131yor, k\u00f6y k\u00f6y, kent kent dola\u015farak meydan g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinde s\u0131radan se\u00e7meni, onun dileklerini, \u015fik\u00e2yetlerini, \u00f6nerilerini dinliyor ve sosyo-politik ortam\u0131n nabz\u0131n\u0131 tutuyor. Bu hareketin daha bu ay sonuna kadar Sofya\u2019da ARMEETS kapal\u0131 spor salonunda bir kurultay toplayarak yeni bir politik parti olarak tescilini yapt\u0131rmas\u0131 bekleniyor. TV 7 televizyon yay\u0131nlar\u0131nda \u00fclkenin ekonomik ve politik sorunlar\u0131na aktif e\u011filen, insan haklar\u0131n\u0131n kesin savunucusu olarak ortaya \u00e7\u0131kan, \u00e7evrecilik konusunda etkin konum sergileyen, i\u015fsizden, kovulandan, ezilenden, hor g\u00f6r\u00fclenden, sefilden yana konum sergilerken, doland\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k ve r\u00fc\u015fvet olaylar\u0131na amans\u0131z tav\u0131r alan N. Barekov\u2019u destekleyenlerin ordusu gitgide geni\u015fliyor.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-459522173\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-15-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bulgaristan\u2019da bug\u00fcn \u00f6fkesi hakl\u0131 insanlar var. Halk\u0131n sa\u011fl\u0131k birikimlerine, sosyal edinimlerine, emeklilik haklar\u0131na sorumsuzca el uzat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131, bir\u00e7ok yerde insan haklar\u0131n\u0131n hi\u00e7e say\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda hareketlenmeye ve politik konum de\u011fi\u015ftirerek durumu de\u011fi\u015ftirme yolu arayanlar\u0131n hakl\u0131 sebepleri var.<\/p>\n<p><b>Stratejik Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Merkezinin tespitleri:<\/b><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li>Bulgaristan demokrasisinin en b\u00fcy\u00fck sorunu hi\u00e7 kimsenin muhalefette olmak istememesidir.<\/li>\n<li>Demokrasinin ana kurallar\u0131ndan biri olan, se\u00e7im sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na \u00f6fkelenmeden politika yapmaya al\u0131\u015famamalar\u0131d\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Se\u00e7men oylar\u0131yla demokrasiyi ileri ta\u015f\u0131may\u0131 \u00fcstlenmezse, kom\u00fcnist partinin 2 \u201cevlad\u0131\u201d olan BSP ve GERB B\u00dcY\u00dcK KOAL\u0130SYON kurabilir. Bu olursa Bulgaristan\u2019da karanl\u0131k \u00e7ok uzun s\u00fcrecektir. De\u011fi\u015fim \u015fart amma kiminle\u2026<\/p>\n<div id=\"bghab-3119484679\" class=\"bghab-yazi-altinda bghab-entity-placement\"><div class=\"bghab-adlabel\">Reklamlar<\/div><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- bghaber-yaz\u0131-sonu -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4222328180\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><br style=\"clear: both; display: block; float: none;\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Se\u00e7imler bug\u00fcn olsayd\u0131. \u201cSava Haris\u201d sosyolojik ara\u015ft\u0131rma merkezince yap\u0131lan son anket sonu\u00e7lar\u0131na g\u00f6re, Bulgaristan parlamento se\u00e7imleri ge\u00e7en hafta yap\u0131lsayd\u0131 \u201cATAKA\u201d partisi meclis d\u0131\u015f\u0131na itilecek, \u00a0REFORMCU<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":6093,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[30],"class_list":["post-7939","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-yorum","tag-bulgaristan"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/09\/1-logo-yk.jpg?fit=552%2C531&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc2PfJ-243","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7939","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7939"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7939\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6093"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7939"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7939"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7939"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}