{"id":57607,"date":"2022-06-09T23:36:51","date_gmt":"2022-06-09T20:36:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/?p=57607"},"modified":"2022-06-09T23:36:51","modified_gmt":"2022-06-09T20:36:51","slug":"bulgaristan-avro-bolgesine-katilmaya-hazir-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/bulgaristan-avro-bolgesine-katilmaya-hazir-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Bulgaristan, Avro B\u00f6lgesine kat\u0131lmaya haz\u0131r m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Son haftalarda, Bulgaristan&#8217;\u0131n Avro B\u00f6lgesine kat\u0131l\u0131m \u0131hakk\u0131nda kamuoyunda yine ve olduk\u00e7a aktif bir \u015fekilde s\u00f6z ediliyor.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmet yetkilileri, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 temsilcileri ve uzmanlar, a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda, bunun \u015fimdiden bir ger\u00e7ek olaca\u011f\u0131 gibi 1 Ocak 2024 tarihi bile belirtiyorlar.<\/p>\n<p>AB \u00fcyelik anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131yla birlikte, her \u00fcye \u00fclkenin tek Avrupa para birimini kabul etme konusundaki anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 ifade etti\u011fi tart\u0131\u015fma g\u00f6t\u00fcrmez. Ancak, ulusal para biriminin de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesi gereken tarih belirtilmemi\u015f.<\/p>\n<p>Ukrayna&#8217;daki sava\u015fla ilgili jeopolitik \u00e7alkant\u0131lar ve buna e\u015flik eden ve \u00fclkemizde giderek daha belirgin hale gelen enflasyonun arka plan\u0131nda, 2024&#8217;te levan\u0131n avro ile de\u011fi\u015fiminin ne kadar m\u00fcmk\u00fcn oldu\u011funu tahmin etmek hala zor.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.bnr.bg\/gallery\/cr\/6efcebb1dc8104886041ff6bea9c62a9.jpg?w=640\" alt=\"\" data-loaded=\"true\" \/><\/p>\n<p>K\u0131sa zaman \u00f6nce yay\u0131nlananve yak\u0131nsama ile ilgilibir Avrupa Komisyonu raporuna g\u00f6re, Bulgaristan hen\u00fcz Avro B\u00f6lgesine kat\u0131lamaz.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-3189448835\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bulgaristan Merkez Bankas\u0131 BNB Yasalar\u0131, Avro B\u00f6lgesi mevzuat\u0131yla uyumlu de\u011fil ve \u00fclkedeki enflasyon, y\u0131ll\u0131k bazda y\u00fczde14.4 olmak \u00fczere, \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak, gereksinimler, enflasyonun en ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131\u00fclkelerin ortalamas\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fczde 1.5&#8217;inden y\u00fcksek olmamas\u0131n\u0131 gerektiriyor.<\/p>\n<p>Uzmanlara g\u00f6re, b\u00fct\u00e7ea\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 GSY\u0130H&#8217;n\u0131ny\u00fczde 3&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fc ge\u00e7memelidir ve Avro B\u00f6lgesine y\u00fckselen enflasyon ve durgunluk riskleri varken girmek ek riskleri beraberinde getiriyor.\u00d6te yandan, insanlar\u0131n zaman i\u00e7inde b\u00fcy\u00fcyen avro hakk\u0131ndaki \u015f\u00fcphelerinden kaynaklanan bir teredd\u00fctde hakim. Ekonomi uzman\u0131 Daniela Bobeva, BNR\u2019ye a\u00e7\u0131klamada bulunurken \u201c\u0130\u015fte bu y\u00fczden politikac\u0131lar, insanlar\u0131do\u011fru yolun bu oldu\u011funa dair ikna etmelidirler\u201d dedi ve Bulgaristan&#8217;\u0131n Avro B\u00f6lgesindeki \u00fcyeli\u011fine ili\u015fkin tahminlerini dile getirdi:<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u00d6deyebilece\u011fimizden daha fazlas\u0131n\u0131 harcamaya devam edersek, b\u00fct\u00e7e a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131 veenflasyon kriterini zor kar\u015f\u0131layaxca\u011f\u0131oz.B\u00fct\u00e7e g\u00fcncellemesinde \u00e7ok b\u00fcy\u00fck maliyetler planl\u0131yorsak kriterleri kar\u015f\u0131lamam\u0131z zor olacakt\u0131r. Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131,enflasyon kriteri ile ilgili bir sorun ya\u015fayaca\u011f\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu nedenle, iyi bir analiz yap\u0131lmas\u0131 ve hangi politikan\u0131n dikkate al\u0131nmas\u0131 gerekiyor.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.bnr.bg\/gallery\/cr\/63eff31d449b3f03273159cf16bf5f01.jpg?w=640\" alt=\"\" data-loaded=\"true\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Levan\u0131n Avro ile de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesini geleneksel olarak ele\u015ftiren Makro Ekonomi Uzman\u0131 do\u00e7ent Grigor Sariyski,ge\u00e7enlerde kat\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 birtelevizyon program\u0131nda \u00fclkemizin hen\u00fcz b\u00f6yle bir ad\u0131ma haz\u0131r olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha kaydetti:<\/p><div id=\"bghab-1423998005\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-10-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u201eH\u00fck\u00fcmet, mali politikan\u0131n sorumlulu\u011funu \u00fcstlenmemiz i\u00e7inAvroB\u00f6lgesine girmemizi istiyor. AB&#8217;ye kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131m\u0131zdan sonra, yeni bir yasan\u0131n her \u00f6ns\u00f6z\u00fc, bizim yasam\u0131z\u0131 Avrupa mevzuat\u0131yla uyumlu hale getirme ihtiyac\u0131yla ba\u015fl\u0131yor.AvroB\u00f6lgesine girerken, para politikas\u0131 konusunda da ayn\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 yapaca\u011f\u0131z.\u201c<\/p>\n<p>Makro Ekonomi Uzman\u0131, birka\u00e7 y\u0131l \u00f6ncesine kadar Avro B\u00f6lgesinin yabanc\u0131 bir \u00fclkenin &#8220;g\u00fcnahlar\u0131n\u0131&#8221; telafi edecek bir istikrar mekanizmas\u0131ndan yoksun oldu\u011funu hat\u0131rlat\u0131yor. Ancak, \u015fimdi b\u00f6yle bir mekanizma mevcut ve her \u00fcye \u00fclke buna kat\u0131lmakla y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcd\u00fcr.<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.bnr.bg\/gallery\/cr\/1139671a72c628114cee752cfa6f7663.jpg?w=640\" alt=\"\" data-loaded=\"true\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Ayn\u0131 zamanda Bulgaristan&#8217;\u0131n Avro B\u00f6lgesine kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 destekleyenlerden biri olan mali uzman\u0131 Viktor Yotsov, \u00fclkemizin s\u00f6z\u00fcm ona&#8221;bekleme odas\u0131na&#8221; kabul edilmek i\u00e7in neden 13 y\u0131la ihtiya\u00e7 duydu\u011funa ili\u015fkin \u015fa\u015fk\u0131nl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 dile getirdi:<\/p>\n<p>\u201eERM mekanizmas\u0131na girmek i\u00e7in kar\u015f\u0131lamam\u0131z gereken herhangi bir kriter yok. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla karar\u0131n olduk\u00e7a g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir siyasi unsurdan etkilendi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Buna ra\u011fmen Bulgaristan,25 y\u0131ld\u0131r aktif bir para politikas\u0131 izlemeyi reddediyor ve Avrupa Merkez Bankas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131 takip ediyor.Kendi para politikam\u0131za sahip olmamakgibi t\u00fcm olumsuzluklar\u013125 y\u0131ld\u0131rya\u015f\u0131yoruz.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6te yandan, i\u015flem maliyetlerinin d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi, daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck faiz oranlar\u0131 vs gibi parasal birlik i\u00e7inde olman\u0131n avantajlar\u0131n\u0131 kullanm\u0131yoruz.\u201d<\/p><div id=\"bghab-3537133044\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-15-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Yaz\u0131: Yoan Kolev<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7eviri: \u015eevkiye \u00c7ak\u0131r<\/p>\n<div id=\"bghab-1058837277\" class=\"bghab-yazi-altinda bghab-entity-placement\"><div class=\"bghab-adlabel\">Reklamlar<\/div><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- bghaber-yaz\u0131-sonu -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4222328180\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><br style=\"clear: both; display: block; float: none;\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Son haftalarda, Bulgaristan&#8217;\u0131n Avro B\u00f6lgesine kat\u0131l\u0131m \u0131hakk\u0131nda kamuoyunda yine ve olduk\u00e7a aktif bir \u015fekilde s\u00f6z ediliyor. H\u00fck\u00fcmet yetkilileri, i\u015f d\u00fcnyas\u0131 temsilcileri ve uzmanlar, a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131nda, bunun<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":57608,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1133,9,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-57607","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-duyuru","category-ekonomi","category-haberler"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/06\/euro-bg.jpg?fit=925%2C520&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc2PfJ-eZ9","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57607","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=57607"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/57607\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/57608"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=57607"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=57607"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=57607"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}