{"id":51837,"date":"2021-01-04T01:13:13","date_gmt":"2021-01-03T22:13:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/?p=51837"},"modified":"2021-01-04T01:13:17","modified_gmt":"2021-01-03T22:13:17","slug":"bulgaristanda-2021-secimlerini-tahmin-etmek-zorlasti","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/bulgaristanda-2021-secimlerini-tahmin-etmek-zorlasti\/","title":{"rendered":"Bulgaristan&#8217;da 2021 se\u00e7imlerini tahmin etmek zorla\u015ft\u0131."},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n ve salg\u0131n\u0131n \u00fclkemizde her d\u00fczeyde g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi sonu\u00e7larla oldu\u011fu gib<strong>i vatanda\u015flar\u0131n iktidara y\u00f6nelik aktif memnuniyetsizlik&nbsp;<\/strong>g\u00f6sterileri ile de hat\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131z.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ba\u015fsavc\u0131l\u0131k taraf\u0131ndan Temmuz ay\u0131nda cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 binas\u0131nda d\u00fczenlenen operasyonla ba\u015flayan ve &#8220;Zehirli \u00dc\u00e7l\u00fc&#8221; olarak bilinen \u00fc\u00e7 organizat\u00f6r taraf\u0131ndan y\u00f6netilen protestolar, devlet y\u00f6netimi modelinin de\u011fi\u015fmesi iste\u011fini \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kard\u0131. G\u00f6sterilerin ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan be\u015f ay sonra enerjisi d\u00fc\u015fen protestolara kat\u0131lanlar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc, bir avukat \/Nikolay Hacigenov\/, bir halkla ili\u015fkiler uzman\u0131 \/Arman Babikyan\/ ve bir heykeltra\u015f\u0131n \/prof. Velislav Minekov\/ toplumun memnuniyetsizli\u011fini y\u00f6nettikleri bi\u00e7imle ilgili sanki hayal k\u0131r\u0131kl\u0131\u011f\u0131na u\u011frad\u0131lar.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.bnr.bg\/gallery\/cr\/b65e08bb421473a7857e9574f680e3eb.jpg?w=640\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u00fck\u00fcmeti devirmek i\u00e7in yererli kritik kitleyi toplamsa da protesto ve daha do\u011frusu Zehirli \u00dc\u00e7l\u00fc, se\u00e7im d\u00fcr\u00fcstl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc garantilemek \u00fczere Parlamento d\u0131\u015f\u0131 partilerden olu\u015fan bir platformun olu\u015fturulmas\u0131 gibi son derece \u00f6nemli bir fikir ortaya atmay\u0131 ba\u015fard\u0131.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Siyasi olu\u015fumlar\u0131n bir b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc \u00dc\u00e7l\u00fc&#8217;n\u00fcn platforma kat\u0131lma \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vermezken eski ombudsman Maya Manolova&#8217;n\u0131n liderli\u011findeki &#8220;\u0130zpravi se. BG&#8221; hareketi, se\u00e7imlerin d\u00fcr\u00fcstl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc ad\u0131na kurulan bu koalisyonun tek kesin kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 oldu.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.bnr.bg\/gallery\/cr\/21bcad499c359eadf783a5a95c98591b.jpg?w=640\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Gazeteci Veselin Stoynev, BNR Horizont program\u0131na konu\u015furken bu birle\u015fmeyi &#8220;Kimin kimi temsil etti\u011fi ise ayr\u0131 bir konudur&#8221; dedi ve \u015funu da ekledi:<\/p><div id=\"bghab-1648550675\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Sofya&#8217;da yap\u0131lan yerel se\u00e7imleri hat\u0131rlayacak olursak Maya Manolova&#8217;n\u0131n 124 000 oy alarak ikinci oldu\u011funu g\u00f6r\u00fcr\u00fcz. Manolova&#8217;n\u0131n ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bu oylar, asl\u0131nda tam olarak kendine ait de\u011fil, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc bu se\u00e7imde BSP aday g\u00f6stermedi. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu oylar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde onlara ait oldu\u011funu s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. &#8220;Zehirli \u00dc\u00e7\u00e7l\u00fc&#8221; ise protestoyu temsil etmeyip g\u00f6sterileri sadece organize eder. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla ka\u00e7 ki\u015finin onlara destek verebilece\u011fini tahmin etmek zor. Zehirli \u00dc\u00e7l\u00fc ve Manolova&#8217;n\u0131n Parlamento&#8217;ya girmeleri halinde Slavi Trifonov&#8217;un partisi ile ili\u015fkiler kurmalar\u0131 onlara siyasi a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k kazand\u0131racak. Protestolara do\u011frudan kat\u0131lmasa da<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Slavi Trifonov&#8217;un iktidara kar\u015f\u0131 y\u00f6nelik sivil memnuniyetsizlikten en \u00e7ok faydalanaca\u011f\u0131 gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.\u201c<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Sosyolog Kan\u00e7o Stoy\u00e7ev de eski televizyon sunucusu ve showman olan Trifonov&#8217;un ve partisinin b\u0131kt\u0131r\u0131c\u0131 olmayan mevcudiyetinin kendisine yarar sa\u011flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesinde. Bunun sebebi ise &#8220;\u0130ma takav narod&#8221; partisinin siyasi temsil arayan se\u00e7menleri celbetme potansiyeline sahip tek yeni Parlamento d\u0131\u015f\u0131 alternatif olmas\u0131d\u0131r.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.bnr.bg\/gallery\/cr\/fbfb5f4f72bbdc14e4d2811777ce8d07.jpg?w=640\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BNR&#8217;ye konu\u015fan politolog Dimitar Ganev ise \u015fu yorumda bulundu<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;\u015eimdiye kadar yap\u0131lan b\u00fct\u00fcn se\u00e7imlerde de ayn\u0131 Slavi Trifonov gibi herkese kar\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011funu ve sistem de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylenler oldu. B\u00f6yle bir s\u00fcbjeye talep hep olmu\u015ftur. Sosyolojiye bakacak olursak onun Yanev, Mare\u015fki veya Barekov&#8217;tan daha b\u00fcy\u00fck, fakat Borisov ve Saksoburgotski&#8217;den daha k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck bir olay olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 tahmin edebiliriz.&#8221;<\/p><div id=\"bghab-3414402266\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-10-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>Ganev, ilk baharda yap\u0131lmas\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fclen genel se\u00e7imlerden k\u0131sa s\u00fcre sonra h\u00fck\u00fcmet olu\u015fturma imkans\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan dolay\u0131 yeni se\u00e7imlere gidilmesinin ihtimaller dahilinde olu\u011funu belirtti. \u0130stikrarl\u0131 tahminlerin yap\u0131lmas\u0131 i\u00e7in hen\u00fcz \u00e7ok erken oldu\u011funu belirten Ganev&#8217;in s\u00f6zlerine g\u00f6re Parlamento&#8217;da temsil edilen b\u00fct\u00fcn partiler, yaz mevsimindeki protestolardan dolay\u0131 zarara u\u011frad\u0131, fakat buna ra\u011fmen son aylarda insanlar\u0131n iktidara olan tutumunda normalle\u015fme izlenmektedir.<img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/static.bnr.bg\/gallery\/cr\/09e25ed1dca1fa8957076606925f193b.jpg?w=640\" alt=\"\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;Trend&#8221; ara\u015ft\u0131rma merkezi uzman\u0131 olan Ganev, temel oy verme gerek\u00e7esinin krizin \u00fcstesinden gelinmesi olaca\u011f\u0131, oy verme oran\u0131n\u0131n ise d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olaca\u011f\u0131 tahmininde bulundu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Rumen Radev, Bulgaristan vatanda\u015flar\u0131ndan b\u00fcy\u00fck takdir al\u0131yor. Bu durumda BSP&#8217;nin Radev&#8217;e y\u00f6nelik ele\u015ftirilerinin s\u0131kla\u015fmas\u0131 neye ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r? Bu soruyu Kan\u00e7o Stoy\u00e7ev \u015f\u00f6yle yan\u0131tlad\u0131:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>&#8220;G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f farkl\u0131l\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n olmas\u0131 gayet do\u011fal. Bu ba\u011flamda Radev&#8217;in partili bir adam olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirtmek gerekir. Bu ba\u011flamda onun hakk\u0131ndaki ele\u015ftiriler daha \u00e7ok parti s\u00f6ylemi kapsam\u0131ndad\u0131r. S\u0131k s\u0131k siyasi hatalar yapan Radev, hata yaparken bile s\u0131radan insan\u0131n be\u011fenisini al\u0131yor. Radev&#8217;in partilerle ilgili tarafs\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve do\u011fall\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan ho\u015flanan insanlar, hatalar\u0131n\u0131 affediyorlar.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Derleyen: \u0130van Kolev \/BNR Horizont program\u0131ndan Lyudmila Jelezova ve Petar Volgin&#8217;in r\u00f6portajlar\u0131ndan\/<\/p><div id=\"bghab-211144090\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-15-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00c7eviri: Tanya Blagova<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>BNR<\/p>\n<div id=\"bghab-503261547\" class=\"bghab-yazi-altinda bghab-entity-placement\"><div class=\"bghab-adlabel\">Reklamlar<\/div><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- bghaber-yaz\u0131-sonu -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4222328180\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><br style=\"clear: both; display: block; float: none;\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2020 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131 k\u00fcresel salg\u0131n ve salg\u0131n\u0131n \u00fclkemizde her d\u00fczeyde g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi sonu\u00e7larla oldu\u011fu gibi vatanda\u015flar\u0131n iktidara y\u00f6nelik aktif memnuniyetsizlik&nbsp;g\u00f6sterileri ile de hat\u0131rlayaca\u011f\u0131z. Ba\u015fsavc\u0131l\u0131k taraf\u0131ndan Temmuz ay\u0131nda<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":26591,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,4],"tags":[30,604],"class_list":["post-51837","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haberler","category-siyaset","tag-bulgaristan","tag-secim"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/istatistik-anket.png?fit=610%2C343&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc2PfJ-du5","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51837","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=51837"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/51837\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26591"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=51837"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=51837"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=51837"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}