{"id":37862,"date":"2019-06-24T16:23:56","date_gmt":"2019-06-24T13:23:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/?p=37862"},"modified":"2019-07-05T00:56:13","modified_gmt":"2019-07-04T21:56:13","slug":"bulgaristan-insansiz-kalacak-ulkelerden-biri","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/bulgaristan-insansiz-kalacak-ulkelerden-biri\/","title":{"rendered":"Bulgaristan, \u0130nsans\u0131z Kalacak \u00dclkelerden Biri"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Tarih: 24 06 2019<br \/>\nYazar: Nedim AKIN<br \/>\nKonu: <strong>BMT\u2019na g\u00f6re, Bulgaristan n\u00fcfusunun azalma e\u011filimi h\u0131zlan\u0131yor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Te\u015fkilat\u0131 (BMT) taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan son \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcde, halen 7 milyon ki\u015fiden biraz daha fazla vatanda\u015f\u0131 oldu\u011fu iddia edilen Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131n bu s\u0131n\u0131ra bir daha asla ula\u015famayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yaz\u0131yor. Haz\u0131rlanan en iyi senaryoya g\u00f6re, asr\u0131n sonunda \u00fclkede en fazla 5,5 milyon insan olacakt\u0131r. Evrostat verilerine g\u00f6re ise, Bulgaristan\u2019la ilgili en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryo ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecektir. Bu senaryoda, <strong>2\u00a0100 y\u0131l\u0131nda Bulgaristan\u2019da ancak 2, 18 milyon insan ya\u015fayacakt\u0131r<\/strong>. Bug\u00fcn Sofya ve Filibe\u2019de (Plovdiv) toplam 2 milyondan biraz fazla insan ya\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>BMT\u2019nin iyimler \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerine g\u00f6re, Bulgar n\u00fcfus 1 milyon ki\u015fi azalacak ve 2038 y\u0131l\u0131nda 5. 977 kalacakt\u0131r.\u00a0 20 y\u0131l sonra ise, yani 2059\u2019da 4. 969 ki\u015fi kalacakt\u0131r.\u00a0 Bu tempoyla azalmaya devam etti\u011finde asr\u0131n sonunda Bulgaristan\u2019da ancak <strong>3,6<\/strong> milyon n\u00fcfus ya\u015fayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>BMT Ekonomik ve Sosyal Sorunlar \u015eubesi taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan bu veriler (<strong>g\u00f6\u00e7lerin 0<\/strong>) oldu\u011funu dikkate alarak haz\u0131rlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Yan\u0131 asr\u0131n sonuna kadar Bulgaristan\u2019a gelen g\u00f6\u00e7ler ile \u00fclkeden \u00e7\u0131kanlar\u0131n <strong>e\u015fit say\u0131da oldu\u011fu<\/strong> esas al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu senaryoya g\u00f6re asr\u0131n sonunda \u00fclke n\u00fcfusu 4. 242 milyon olacakt\u0131r. Bu gidi\u015fle Bulgaristan n\u00fcfusu 2039\u2019da 6milyonun, 2059\u2019da ise 5 milyon\u2019un alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu n\u00fcfus azalmas\u0131, asr\u0131n sonuna kadar d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunun 11 milyar olaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n hesapland\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir ortamda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fecektir. N\u00fcfusun ya\u015flanmas\u0131 d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusunu olumsuz etkiliyor. \u015eimdi 7,7 milyar olan d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfus asr\u0131n yar\u0131s\u0131nda 9,7 milyar olacakt\u0131r.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-1527630847\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bu y\u00fczy\u0131l d\u00fcnya n\u00fcfusu Afrika\u2019da en h\u0131zl\u0131 \u00e7o\u011fal\u0131rken, Hindistan n\u00fcfus olarak \u00c7in\u2019i ge\u00e7ecek ve en kalabal\u0131k n\u00fcfuslu \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda 1 numara olacak.Avrupa ve Rusya n\u00fcfusu azalmaya devam ederken 2020 y\u0131l\u0131nda 747. 636 milyondan asr\u0131n sonunda ancak 629.562 ki\u015fi kalacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>2019\u2019da 146 milyon n\u00fcfusu olan Rusya Federasyonu Avrupa\u2019n\u0131n en kalabal\u0131k \u00fclkesidir.\u00a0 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n sonunda Rusya n\u00fcfusu muhtemelen 126 milyon kalacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti 21. Y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n ilk \u00e7eyre\u011finde 84-86 milyon n\u00fcfusla geli\u015firken 2058 y\u0131l\u0131nda 98 milyon ki\u015fiye ola\u015facak. BMT\u2019n\u0131n haz\u0131rlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 en iyimler n\u00fcfus istatistiklerine g\u00f6re, Bulgarlar \u2018in 2041 y\u0131l\u0131nda art\u0131k 100\u00a0000\u00a0000 (y\u00fcz milyon) n\u00fcfuslu kom\u015fusu &#8211; \u00a0T\u00fcrkiye \u2013 olacakt\u0131r. Bulgaristan\u2019a kom\u015fu olan \u00fclkelerin (hi\u00e7 istisnas\u0131z hepsinin) n\u00fcfusu azalacakt\u0131r. 2100 y\u0131l\u0131nca T.C.de art\u0131k 126 milyon ki\u015fi ya\u015fayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<div id=\"bghab-1474933163\" style=\"margin-left: auto;margin-right: auto;text-align: center;\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>N\u00fcfus azalmas\u0131n\u0131n nedenlerine de i\u015faret ediliyor.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>2017\u2019deki verilere g\u00f6re, bin ki\u015fide 8,7 do\u011fum ile Bulgaristan d\u00fcnyada 212\u2019inci s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor. \u00dclkenin toplam \u00f6l\u00fcm oran\u0131 bak\u0131m\u0131ndan yer ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 konum ise daha kayg\u0131 verici, zira bin ki\u015fide 14,5 \u00f6l\u00fcm oran\u0131 ile Bulgaristan 3\u2019\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131rada bulunuyor.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-2009251117\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-10-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Letonya, Litvanya ve Moldova\u2019n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Bulgaristan insans\u0131zla\u015fma bak\u0131m\u0131ndan 234 \u00fclke aras\u0131nda 9\u2019uncu s\u0131rada yer al\u0131yor. Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Te\u015fkilat\u0131\u2019n\u0131n 2017\u2019de revize edilen uzun vadeli tahmin raporuna g\u00f6re, 2015\u2019de Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131n n\u00fcfusu 5,4 milyon, 2100\u2019de ise 2.4 \u00a0milyon ki\u015fi olacak.<\/p>\n<p>2008-2009 d\u00f6nemindeki ekonomik krizin ard\u0131ndan ge\u00e7en on y\u0131l zarf\u0131nda Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131 30 ya\u015f\u0131n alt\u0131nda 300 bin ki\u015fi terk etmi\u015ftir. 1989\u2019dan beri Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131 toplam 3 milyon vatanda\u015f terk etmi\u015ftir. Bunlar\u0131n hemen hemen \u00fc\u00e7te biri 2019\u2019da T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti\u2019nde ikamet ediyor.<\/p>\n<p>Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Te\u015fkilat\u0131 Bulgaristan\u2019da ya\u015fayan etnik topluluklarla ilgili ayr\u0131nt\u0131l\u0131 bilgi yay\u0131nlam\u0131yor. Bas\u0131nda yay\u0131nlanan bilgilere g\u00f6re, \u00fclkede n\u00fcfus art\u0131\u015f\u0131nda Romen ahali ba\u015f\u0131 \u00e7ekerken, M\u00fcsl\u00fcman n\u00fcfus 1.5 milyonu bulmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n<p>Yaz\u0131lar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 dostlar\u0131n\u0131zla payla\u015f\u0131n\u0131z.<br \/>\nTe\u015fekk\u00fcr ederiz.<\/p>\n<div id=\"bghab-3780893572\" class=\"bghab-yazi-altinda bghab-entity-placement\"><div class=\"bghab-adlabel\">Reklamlar<\/div><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- bghaber-yaz\u0131-sonu -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4222328180\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><br style=\"clear: both; display: block; float: none;\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Tarih: 24 06 2019 Yazar: Nedim AKIN Konu: BMT\u2019na g\u00f6re, Bulgaristan n\u00fcfusunun azalma e\u011filimi h\u0131zlan\u0131yor. Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler Te\u015fkilat\u0131 (BMT) taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan son \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcde, halen 7<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":26,"featured_media":31679,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37862","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-yorum"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/07\/nedim-akin.jpg?fit=210%2C300&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc2PfJ-9QG","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37862","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/26"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=37862"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/37862\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31679"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=37862"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=37862"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=37862"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}