{"id":29040,"date":"2018-03-29T10:15:07","date_gmt":"2018-03-29T07:15:07","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/?p=29040"},"modified":"2019-07-01T00:09:20","modified_gmt":"2019-06-30T21:09:20","slug":"bulgaristanin-nufusu-2040-yilina-kadar-yuzde-20-azalacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/bulgaristanin-nufusu-2040-yilina-kadar-yuzde-20-azalacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131n n\u00fcfusu 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 20 azalacak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Bulgaristan Bilimler Akademisi (BAN) N\u00fcfus Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan 2015-2040 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in Bulgaristan&#8217;\u0131n demografik geli\u015fimi ile ilgili tahmini rapora g\u00f6re Bulgaristan n\u00fcfusu 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar y\u00fczde 20 &#8211; 25 oran\u0131nda azalacak. Rapor, Eurostat, Ulusal \u0130statistik Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc (NSI), Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler ve D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan resmi tahmini verilerin kar\u015f\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131na dayal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Rapor, bug\u00fcnk\u00fc Bakanlar Kurulu toplant\u0131s\u0131nda kabul edildi.<\/p>\n<p>\u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n ana sonucu \u015fudur ki, \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki birka\u00e7 on y\u0131lda \u00fclkenin demografik geli\u015fimindeki e\u011filimlere benzer e\u011filimler g\u00f6r\u00fclece\u011fi anla\u015f\u0131l\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Rapora g\u00f6re, erkek ve kad\u0131nlar\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitli \u015fekilde etkileyen \u00f6l\u00fcm oran\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fc\u015fmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclmesine ra\u011fmen, n\u00fcfusun cinsiyet yap\u0131s\u0131 sabit kalacakt\u0131r. 20 ya\u015f\u0131n alt\u0131ndaki gen\u00e7lerin oran\u0131 korunacak, 65 ya\u015f \u00fcst\u00fc ya\u015fl\u0131lar ise \u00f6nemli oranda artacakt\u0131r. Bu, ayn\u0131 zamanda \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma ya\u015f\u0131ndaki n\u00fcfusun say\u0131s\u0131ndaki ve pay\u0131ndaki azalma tahminini de belirler.<\/p>\n<p>B\u00f6lgesel bazda n\u00fcfus d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fc, ba\u015fkent d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda kalan hemen hemen b\u00fct\u00fcn illeri kapsamakta ve bu s\u00fcrecin d\u00f6nem boyunca devam etmesi beklenmektedir.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-3516713017\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Pan-Avrupa d\u00fczeyinde n\u00fcfusun azalaca\u011f\u0131 tahmin edilen tek \u00fclke Bulgaristan de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Eurostat verilerine g\u00f6re, Litvanya, Letonya, Romanya, Yunanistan, H\u0131rvatistan, Portekiz, Polonya, Macaristan, Estonya, \u0130talya ve Slovakya olmak \u00fczere n\u00fcfusun daha 11 ba\u015fka \u00fclkede azalmas\u0131 bekleniyor. N\u00fcfus say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar de\u011fi\u015fmeden kalmas\u0131 beklenen Slovenya ve \u00c7ek Cumhuriyeti de bu gruba \u015fartl\u0131 olarak dahil edilebilir. Bu durum, AB \u00fclkelerinin neredeyse yar\u0131s\u0131nda bir n\u00fcfus d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcn beklendi\u011fi sonucuna g\u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<p>Farkl\u0131 tahmini veriler, \u00f6l\u00fcm ve do\u011fum oranlar\u0131nda beklenen iyile\u015fmeye ra\u011fmen, \u00fclke n\u00fcfusunun art\u0131\u015f momentumunun durgunluk a\u015famas\u0131na ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f olabilece\u011fini g\u00f6stermektedir. Etkilerinden dolay\u0131 periyodik do\u011furganl\u0131k oranlar\u0131, basit bir demografik \u00fcreme i\u00e7in gerekli seviyeye y\u00fckselse bile ( ki b\u00f6yle bir \u015fey yak\u0131n gelecekte beklenmiyor), n\u00fcfus say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n azalmaya devam edece\u011fi tahmin edilmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131rcaali Haber<\/p>\n<div id=\"bghab-3136285864\" class=\"bghab-yazi-altinda bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- bghaber-yaz\u0131-sonu -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4222328180\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><br style=\"clear: both; display: block; float: none;\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Bulgaristan Bilimler Akademisi (BAN) N\u00fcfus Ara\u015ft\u0131rma Enstit\u00fcs\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan haz\u0131rlanan 2015-2040 d\u00f6nemi i\u00e7in Bulgaristan&#8217;\u0131n demografik geli\u015fimi ile ilgili tahmini rapora g\u00f6re Bulgaristan n\u00fcfusu 2040 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":26182,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"jetpack_seo_schema_type":"","_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-29040","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-yasam"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc2PfJ-7yo","jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/01\/istihdam-seferberlig.jpg?fit=750%2C420&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29040","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29040"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29040\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26182"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29040"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29040"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29040"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}