{"id":27523,"date":"2018-02-21T19:00:38","date_gmt":"2018-02-21T16:00:38","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/?p=27523"},"modified":"2019-07-06T20:58:54","modified_gmt":"2019-07-06T17:58:54","slug":"bulgaristanda-apolitik-secmen-kesimi-yuzde-35e-yukseldi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/bulgaristanda-apolitik-secmen-kesimi-yuzde-35e-yukseldi\/","title":{"rendered":"Bulgaristan\u2019da apolitik se\u00e7men kesimi y\u00fczde 35\u2019e y\u00fckseldi"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>AFIS Sosyolojik Ajans\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, b\u00fct\u00fcn se\u00e7im gruplar\u0131nda hareketlili\u011fin alt seviyeye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve oy kullanmayanlar\u0131n ve apolitik olanlar\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor.<\/p>\n<p>AFIS Ajans\u0131, bu ara\u015ft\u0131rmay\u0131 1010 vatanda\u015f\u0131n kat\u0131l\u0131m\u0131yla 8-12 \u015eubat 2018 tarihleri aras\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi.<\/p>\n<p>Toplamda bu se\u00e7men kesimi y\u00fczde 35&#8217;ten fazlad\u0131r ve bu oran da yine onlar\u0131 en b\u00fcy\u00fck apolitik g\u00fc\u00e7 haline getirmektedir. Sadece 8 ay \u00f6nce, bu kesim se\u00e7menlerin y\u00fczde 25\u2019ini olu\u015fturuyordu.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eu anda iktidar koalisyonunun \u00f6nde gelen orta\u011f\u0131 GERB, yeti\u015fkin n\u00fcfusun y\u00fczde 26&#8217;l\u0131k kesiminin deste\u011fini al\u0131yor. 8-9 ay \u00f6nce bu oran (Bakanlar Kurulu\u2019nun g\u00f6reve ba\u015flamas\u0131ndan hemen sonra) y\u00fczde 30 civar\u0131ndayd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Sosyologlar, \u201c\u015eu anda sosyalistleri se\u00e7mek isteyenler, ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n yaz aylar\u0131nda oldu\u011fu gibi y\u00fczde 22, 4\u2019l\u00fck bir kesimdir. En b\u00fcy\u00fck iki siyasi g\u00fc\u00e7 aras\u0131ndaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck fark, GERB&#8217;nin se\u00e7men kaybetmesi, BSP&#8217;nin ise \u00f6nemli say\u0131da se\u00e7menlerini art\u0131rmamas\u0131d\u0131r\u201d diye yorumda bulundular. Sosyologlar bunun \u00f6nde gelen iki siyasi olu\u015fum aras\u0131ndaki mesafenin k\u0131sa olmas\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylediler.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-1982016555\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Verilere g\u00f6re ayn\u0131 zamanda \u0130rade Partisi de az da olsa istikrarl\u0131 bir d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f g\u00f6steriyor (an itibariyle y\u00fczde2.5\u2019lik destek al\u0131yor). Bu demektir ki, \u0130rade Partisi\u2019nin sonraki Parlamento\u2019da yer alaca\u011f\u0131 belli de\u011fil.<\/p>\n<p>Analistlere g\u00f6re, d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f s\u00f6zde Birle\u015fik Vatanseverler koalisyonunun ald\u0131\u011f\u0131 destek oran\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Irk\u00e7\u0131 ve a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 milliyet\u00e7i olu\u015fum \u015fu anda Bulgarlar\u0131n yaln\u0131zca y\u00fczde 3,8&#8217;inin deste\u011fini al\u0131yor. Birka\u00e7 ay \u00f6nce bu oran y\u00fczde 6\u2019dan biraz fazlayd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Krasimir Karaka\u00e7anov&#8217;a g\u00fcven oran\u0131 ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n ortas\u0131nda y\u00fczde 38 iken \u015fimdi y\u00fczde 30&#8217;un biraz alt\u0131ndad\u0131r. Ba\u015fbakan Yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131 Valeri Simeonov ile ilgili de benzer bir durum s\u00f6z konusudur. Onun g\u00fcven oran\u0131 y\u00fczde 19\u2019dan y\u00fczde 16\u2019ya d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Hak ve \u00d6zg\u00fcrl\u00fckler Hareketi (H\u00d6H) , se\u00e7men deste\u011fini istikrarl\u0131 bir hale getirdi ve \u015fu anda y\u00fczde7&#8217;nin biraz \u00fczerinde bir seviyededir.<\/p>\n<p>Sosyologlara g\u00f6re, Bulgaristan&#8217;\u0131n AB Konseyi D\u00f6nem Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 sonlanmadan \u00f6nce, yani y\u0131l\u0131n ortas\u0131na kadar \u015fiddetli i\u00e7 siyasi dramlara \u015fahit olma ihtimali \u00e7ok d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-596623858\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-10-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bununla birlikte onlar, koalisyon orta\u011f\u0131n\u0131n son haftalarda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 eylemlerin (\u0130stanbul S\u00f6zle\u015fmesi, Ska Keler olay\u0131 vs.) iki etkiye varaca\u011f\u0131na i\u015faret ediyor \u2013 AB konusunda karamsar olanlar aras\u0131nda deste\u011fin harekete ge\u00e7irilmesi ve Avrupal\u0131 ortaklar kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda imaj\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n lekelenmesi.<\/p>\n<p>AFIS verilerine g\u00f6re, h\u00fck\u00fcmetten deste\u011fini \u00e7eken vatanda\u015flar\u0131n say\u0131s\u0131 giderek artmaktad\u0131r (May\u0131s 2017&#8217;de y\u00fczde 40&#8217;dan \u015eubat 2018&#8217;de y\u00fczde 27&#8217;ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f). H\u00fck\u00fcmetin derhal istifa etmesini isteyenlerin ve yeni se\u00e7im isteyenlerin pay\u0131 (ge\u00e7en y\u0131l\u0131n May\u0131s ay\u0131nda y\u00fczde13 iken \u015fimdi y\u00fczde23&#8217;e y\u00fckseldi) artmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Analistler, \u201cBu e\u011filim y\u0131l ortas\u0131na kadar devam ederse, 2016 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki Cumhurba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinden \u00f6nce ve etraf\u0131ndaki d\u00fczeylere ula\u015facak. O zaman yeni se\u00e7imler talep eden vatanda\u015flar\u0131n oran\u0131 \u00f6nceki h\u00fck\u00fcmeti destekleyenlerin oran\u0131n\u0131 a\u015ft\u0131. \u015eu anda her \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc vatanda\u015f, h\u00fck\u00fcmet i\u00e7indeki baz\u0131 bakanlar\u0131n de\u011fi\u015ftirilmesini tercih ediyor, se\u00e7menlerin y\u00fczde 23\u2019\u00fc ise yeni bir 44. Millet Meclisi h\u00fck\u00fcmeti kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 tercih ediyorlar\u201d diye \u00f6zetlediler.<\/p>\n<p>Analistlerin ifadelerine g\u00f6re iktidara duyulan g\u00fcven yine sars\u0131lmaya ba\u015flad\u0131 ve yeni se\u00e7im fikri ivme kazan\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p>Sosyologlar, \u201c\u015eu anda Ba\u015fbakan Borisov ve Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Radev aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcye gidiyor. Bununla birlikte son y\u0131llarda en y\u00fcksek reytinge sahip siyaset\u00e7ilerden biri olan Devlet Ba\u015fkan\u0131\u2019n\u0131 onaylayanlar\u0131n oran\u0131, Borisov\u2019u onaylayanlar\u0131n oran\u0131ndan daha y\u00fcksektir\u201d diye belirttiler.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-843179338\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-15-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>K\u0131rcaali Haber<\/p>\n<div id=\"bghab-342067124\" class=\"bghab-yazi-altinda bghab-entity-placement\"><div class=\"bghab-adlabel\">Reklamlar<\/div><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- bghaber-yaz\u0131-sonu -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4222328180\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><br style=\"clear: both; display: block; float: none;\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>AFIS Sosyolojik Ajans\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 ara\u015ft\u0131rma sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, b\u00fct\u00fcn se\u00e7im gruplar\u0131nda hareketlili\u011fin alt seviyeye d\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc\u011f\u00fcn\u00fc ve oy kullanmayanlar\u0131n ve apolitik olanlar\u0131n oran\u0131n\u0131n artt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6steriyor. AFIS Ajans\u0131, bu<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":29,"featured_media":27524,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1,4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-haberler","category-siyaset"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/bulgaristan-apolitik-secmen-sayisi.jpg?fit=960%2C720&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc2PfJ-79V","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27523","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/29"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27523"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27523\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27524"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27523"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27523"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27523"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}