{"id":21024,"date":"2016-10-10T21:46:29","date_gmt":"2016-10-10T18:46:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/?p=21024"},"modified":"2016-10-10T21:47:01","modified_gmt":"2016-10-10T18:47:01","slug":"secimle-ilgili-on-analiz","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/secimle-ilgili-on-analiz\/","title":{"rendered":"Se\u00e7imle \u0130lgili \u00d6n Analiz"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>BGSAM<\/p>\n<p><em><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/bg-analz.jpg?resize=91%2C101\" alt=\"bg-analz\" width=\"91\" height=\"101\" \/>\u00a0<\/em><em>Aleksand\u0131r Yordanov \u2013 eski meclis ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve diplomat.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 adaylar\u0131 \u015famatas\u0131nda kimin kim oldu\u011funu nas\u0131l anlayal\u0131m?<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Anayasam\u0131za g\u00f6re Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n i\u015flevleri temsilidir. Her milletvekilinin hakk\u0131 olan kanun \u00f6nerisi sunma hakk\u0131 bile Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131na tan\u0131nmam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>1990\u2019dan beri kar\u015f\u0131m\u0131za 3 Bulgar Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 simas\u0131 dikilir:<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"bghab-267336387\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<ol>\n<li>Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ildikten sonra partisinden<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>uzakla\u015fan Ba\u015fkan. Bu tipin \u00f6rne\u011fi Dr Jel\u00fc Jelevtir. O, se\u00e7ildikten sonra Demokratik G\u00fc\u00e7ler Birli\u011fi (CDC)\u2019den ayr\u0131ld\u0131. Y\u00fcr\u00fctme erkinin ipleri kulis ard\u0131ndan \u00e7ekmeyi se\u00e7ti. L\u00fcben Bereov h\u00fck\u00fcmeti zaman\u0131yd\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol start=\"2\">\n<li>Pet\u0131r Stoyanov \u201c<strong>yeni bir \u00e7ehre<\/strong>\u201d olarak belirdi. Y\u00fcr\u00fctmeyle ayr\u0131lan ve Ba\u015fbakan \u0130vn Kostovla birbirine d\u00fc\u015fmezden \u00f6nce Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Stoyanov b\u00f6yle biriydi. Ayn\u0131 s\u00f6zleri son Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Rosen Pevneliev i\u00e7in de s\u00f6yleyebiliriz. Parti lideri taraf\u0131ndan pohpohlan\u0131rken ili\u015fkilerin ans\u0131z\u0131n bozulmas\u0131 karakteristik oland\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ol start=\"2\">\n<li>Eski BSP ba\u015fkan\u0131 Georgi Parvanov, iki d\u00f6nem ba\u015fkan oldu, parti lideri cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131yd\u0131 ve rahat etti.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>6 Kas\u0131m 2016 se\u00e7imleri bu durumu de\u011fi\u015ftirecek mi? Olabilir. Fakat se\u00e7ilecek Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 prti liderine s\u0131ms\u0131k\u0131 ba\u011fl\u0131 biri olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"bghab-4249068037\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-10-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>22 Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 day\u0131 olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen tablo trajiktir.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Acayip adaylar var. Devlet y\u00f6netiminden haberdar olmayan ve kendilerini ile tan\u0131mayan tipler aday olmu\u015f. Art\u0131k TV programlar\u0131na \u00e7\u0131k\u0131p g\u00fcr\u00fclt\u00fc yapmaya ve \u00f6tmeye bilmeyen pili\u00e7ler gibi kendilerini denemeye ba\u015flad\u0131lar. Seyircilere e\u011flenceli olaylar ya\u015fat\u0131yorlar.<\/p>\n<p>\u015eu adaylar ayr\u0131 ayr\u0131 ve topluca % 1 etraf\u0131nda d\u00f6n\u00fcyor: Veselin Mare\u015fki; Velizar En\u00e7ev; Jorj Gan\u00e7ev; Diyana Dimitrova; Biser Milanov; Aleksnd\u0131r Tomov; Yordanka Koleva; Ttyana Don\u00e7eva; Kamen Popov; Rumen G\u0131\u0131binov; Kemil Ahmet Ramadan; Plamen Paskov; Gospodin Tonev; Dimit\u0131r Marinov ve Nikolay Banev.<\/p>\n<p>Bu listede yabanc\u0131 \u0131\u015f\u0131kta \u015fak\u0131yan 2 ki\u015fi de var: Muhtemelen Ahmet Do\u011fan\u2019a hademelik etmeye haz\u0131rlanan ve her g\u00f6rev i\u00e7in g\u00f6bek atmaya haz\u0131r olan, eski ba\u015fbakan Plmen Ore\u015farsi ve bu defa da Georgi Parvnov\u2019un yerine kuyru\u011fa giren \u0130vaylo Kalfin.<\/p>\n<p>Merakl\u0131lar listesinden BU \u015eAHISLARDAN H\u0130\u00c7 B\u0130R\u0130N\u0130N \u015fimdiki Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7imlerinde hi\u00e7bir \u015fans\u0131 yoktur.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-3080816807\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-15-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>6 Kas\u0131m\u2019da Bulgar se\u00e7men oylar\u0131n\u0131n % 90\u2019n\u0131 a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki 4 aday aras\u0131nda payla\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r. Kimdir bunlar?<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Reformcu Blok (RB)<\/strong><\/span> adaylar\u0131 Tray\u00e7o Traykov ile S\u0131b S\u0131bev. Bu ikili 1990\u2019l\u0131 y\u0131llar\u0131n \u201cmavi dalgas\u0131n\u0131n\u201d (demokratik g\u00fc\u00e7lerin) ve Bulgaristan\u2019\u0131n Avrupa-Atlantik y\u00f6nelimine ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Bulgaristan \u00fczerindeki mahvedici etkisine kesinlikle son verilmesi gerekti\u011fine inanan ve bu konularda asla ikircimli olmayan se\u00e7menin oyunu alacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Sol parti \u00fcyelerinin<\/strong><\/span> ve \u00f6\u011frenimsiz Bulgar vatanda\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n oylar\u0131n\u0131 almak isteyen, Bulgaristan Sosyalist Partisi (BSP) adaylar\u0131 General Rumen Radev ile \u0130lyana Yotova. Onlar anavatanlar\u0131n\u0131n Bulgaristan de\u011fil, Rusya oldu\u011funa inananlar\u0131n da oyunu alacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>B\u0130RLE\u015e\u0130K YURTSEVERLER\u0130N adaylar\u0131<\/strong><\/span> Krasemir Karaka\u00e7anov ile Yavor Notev. Bu ikili milliyet\u00e7ilerin oylar\u0131n\u0131 ve son zamanda \u00e7ok k\u0131\u015fk\u0131rt\u0131lan s\u0131\u011f\u0131nmac\u0131 dalgas\u0131n\u0131n getirece\u011fi oylar\u0131 ve Bulgaristan\u2019da Rus \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n s\u0131vazlanmas\u0131ndan gelecek oylar\u0131 toplayacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<li><strong>GERB adaylar\u0131:<\/strong> Tsetska Tsa\u00e7eva ile Plamen Manu\u015fev. Bu ikili yar\u0131\u015fa bir g\u00f6\u011f\u00fcs \u00f6nde girdiler. Favori olmalar\u0131, devlet y\u00f6netiminde deneyimli olan Ts\u00e7eva\u2019n\u0131n meclis ba\u015fkan\u0131 olmas\u0131ndan ileri gelmektedir. Tsa\u00e7eva se\u00e7ildi\u011finde, ba\u015fbakan ve parti liderine kay\u0131ts\u0131z ko\u015fulsuz ba\u011fl\u0131 kalma, boyun e\u011fme ve her \u015feyi ona g\u00f6re ayarlama gibi bir pratik uygulayacakt\u0131r.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u015eU SONU\u00c7LAR \u00c7IKARILAB\u0130L\u0130N\u0130R:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Tsa\u00e7eva se\u00e7ildi\u011finde, <\/strong>Borisov\u2019un s\u00f6zleri ve siyaseti b\u00fcy\u00fck bir titizlikle tekrarlanacakt\u0131r. Her tek ki\u015filik iktidarda oldu\u011fu gibi devlette huzur olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Generl Radev se\u00e7ildi\u011finde, <\/strong>devlet istikrar\u0131 elden gidecek, erken se\u00e7im olacak, ekonomik ve mali bunal\u0131m dalgalanacakt\u0131r. Bulgaristan Rusya y\u00f6r\u00fcngesine geri \u00e7ekilecektir.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-2626862285\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-20-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p><strong>Karak\u00e7anov se\u00e7ildi\u011finde<\/strong>, Bulgaristan\u2019da karga\u015fa ba\u015flayacak, her zaman cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131n\u0131n sesinin i\u015fitilece\u011fi siyasetin yerini lafazanl\u0131k alacakt\u0131r. \u201cYurtseverli\u011fin\u201d bu \u00e7e\u015fidinde Bulgaristan ikinci plana ge\u00e7erken, \u00f6n plana Rusya ge\u00e7ecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Bu i\u015fin en iyi taraf\u0131 \u015fudur ki, General Radev ile Karaka\u00e7anov\u2019un bu i\u015fte \u015fans\u0131 yoktur.<\/p>\n<p>Bu se\u00e7imde normal vatanda\u015flar i\u00e7in ikilem: TRAYKOV \u0130LE TSA\u00c7EVA aras\u0131nda olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>TRAYKOV\u2019ta kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz?<\/strong><\/p><div id=\"bghab-1968219076\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-25-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Sivil toplum \u00f6rg\u00fct\u00fc aday\u0131d\u0131r. Birka\u00e7 parti ona destek vermi\u015ftir. Gen\u00e7tir. Bulgaristan ve Avrupa-Atlantik konumu a\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r. Ulusal g\u00fcvenlik ve enerji konular\u0131nda iyi uzmand\u0131r. Uluslararas\u0131 alanda ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z bir siyasetten yanad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>TSA\u00c7EVA\u2019da kimi g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Parti liderine tamamen ba\u011fl\u0131 bir aday! Bu lider iktidarda kald\u0131k\u00e7a s\u00fcrpriz ya\u015fanmaz. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 s\u00fcresinde \u201c\u015fef\u201d g\u00f6revinden d\u00fc\u015ferse sorun ya\u015fanabilir. GERB \u00fcyelerinin deste\u011fi, uzla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n bast\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131nda mecliste birikmi\u015f deneyimi be diyalog ustas\u0131 olmas\u0131 Ts\u00e7eva\u2019n\u0131n lehinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Tsa\u00e7eva\u2019n\u0131n zay\u0131f yanlar\u0131<\/strong>: Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Bulgaristan \u00fczerindeki etkisi ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Avrupa\u2019ya olan i\u015ftahlar\u0131 konusunda ayan olmayan bir siyasi tutum. Tsa\u00e7eva deme\u00e7lerinde, s\u0131k\u00e7a \u201cdenge\u201d diyor. Fakat ikili ili\u015fkilerde \u201cdenge\u201d sa\u011flanmas\u0131 i\u00e7in onlar\u0131n \u00f6nce e\u015fit omas\u0131 gerekir. \u00d6nce ili\u015fki terazi dengelenmeli ve ondan sonra \u201cdengeden\u201d s\u00f6z etmeliyiz. Rusya ile ili\u015fkilerimiz hen\u00fcz dengeli de\u011fildir, \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc terazide Rusya kefesi a\u011f\u0131r basmaktad\u0131r ve bu durum Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 adaylar\u0131n\u0131n konu\u015fmalar\u0131na dahi yans\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ba\u015fbakan Borisov taraf\u0131ndan \u201c\u015fahin\u201d olarak nitelenme riski olsa da yeni Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 \u00f6nce Rusya ile ili\u015fkileri bir dengelemelidir. Tsa\u00e7eva \u201c\u015fahin\u201d de\u011fildir ve olmak da istemez. \u201c\u015eahin\u201d kavram\u0131n\u0131 son zamanda Borisov Plevneliev i\u00e7in kullanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. O zaman gemi alabora olmaz.<\/p><div id=\"bghab-1139272523\" class=\"bghab-icerik-icine-30-paragraf bghab-entity-placement\"><script async src=\"\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js?client=ca-pub-6203283170189293\" crossorigin=\"anonymous\"><\/script><ins class=\"adsbygoogle\" style=\"display:block; text-align:center;\" data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\" \ndata-ad-slot=\"7303146466\" \ndata-ad-layout=\"in-article\"\ndata-ad-format=\"fluid\" data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\n<script> \n(adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({}); \n<\/script>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bu y\u00fczden bu se\u00e7imlerin ikinci turunda Tsa\u00e7eva ile Traykov\u2019un yar\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 en iyi olur. Konuyu yak\u0131ndan izliyoruz.<\/p>\n<div id=\"bghab-902481636\" class=\"bghab-yazi-altinda bghab-entity-placement\"><div class=\"bghab-adlabel\">Reklamlar<\/div><script async src=\"https:\/\/pagead2.googlesyndication.com\/pagead\/js\/adsbygoogle.js\"><\/script>\r\n<!-- bghaber-yaz\u0131-sonu -->\r\n<ins class=\"adsbygoogle\"\r\n     style=\"display:block\"\r\n     data-ad-client=\"ca-pub-6203283170189293\"\r\n     data-ad-slot=\"4222328180\"\r\n     data-ad-format=\"auto\"\r\n     data-full-width-responsive=\"true\"><\/ins>\r\n<script>\r\n     (adsbygoogle = window.adsbygoogle || []).push({});\r\n<\/script><\/div><br style=\"clear: both; display: block; float: none;\"\/>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BGSAM \u00a0Aleksand\u0131r Yordanov \u2013 eski meclis ba\u015fkan\u0131 ve diplomat. Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 adaylar\u0131 \u015famatas\u0131nda kimin kim oldu\u011funu nas\u0131l anlayal\u0131m? Anayasam\u0131za g\u00f6re Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131m\u0131z\u0131n i\u015flevleri temsilidir. Her milletvekilinin hakk\u0131<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":21025,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"advanced_seo_description":"","jetpack_seo_html_title":"","jetpack_seo_noindex":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21024","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-yorum"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/10\/bg-analz.jpg?fit=354%2C392&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/pc2PfJ-5t6","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21024","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21024"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21024\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21025"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21024"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21024"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bghaber.org\/bghaber\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21024"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}